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Bookies Advantage: UCL Edition RO16 (2)

The Champions League makes a quick return to our lives with the first leg of the other four round of 16 fixtures taking place over the course of Tuesday and Wednesday. Here at FantasyBet we have a range of games for you to get involved in, including our £500 Guaranteed Tuesday Main Event, with entry costing just £11! As per usual, we’ve analysed the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer markets from bookmakers across the internet in order to help you gain that all-important edge over your competitors…

Clean sheet odds

Team Best clean sheet odds Implied chance of a clean sheet

Man City

1.98

51%

Juventus

2.77

36%

Atletico Madrid

2.8

36%

Barcelona

3.35

30%

Liverpool

3.85

26%

Bayern Munich

5.5

18%

Lyon

6.9

14%

Schalke 04

11.5

9%

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Manchester City are the side best placed to keep a clean sheet in Gameweek 8 according to the bookmakers, with a 51% chance of doing so when they visit the Veltins-Arena to take on Schalke. The Germans have failed to score in either of their last 2 at home in The Bundesliga, whilst Pep Guardiola’s side have shut out both Chelsea and Everton in their last 2 English top flight outings. Ederson offers a safe route into the Citizens’ rearguard and starts between the sticks for our side.

Ahead of their meeting at the Wanda Metropolitano on Wednesday evening, Juventus and Atletico Madrid (both 36%) rank joint-second. Both sides are traditionally strong defensively, so a low-scoring game may be on the cards here. In their respective leagues, both have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 5 outings. Offering some attacking threat, we plump for both right-backs, with Santiago Arias (1G, 1A in 14 starts) and Joao Cancelo (1G, 2A in 13 starts) both available for £5.0m – the best prices on offer in both defences.

Barcelona (30%) complete the top 4 defensive prospects for Gameweek 8 when they travel to Lyon. Clement Lenglet was rested at the weekend, which seems to signal he will start on Wednesday night. Also priced at £5.0m, he offers the cheapest route into the Ernesto Valverde’s back line, which has kept 2 clean sheets in succession.

Our bench consists of cheap backup options, with Schalke’s Ralf Fahrmann (9%) providing goalkeeping cover, whilst Lyon’s Leo Dubois (14%) looks like the only £4.0m priced defender who will feature this gameweek and takes the second spot on our bench. Fahrmann’s clubmate Matija Nastasic (9%), formerly of Manchester City, completes our defensive selections.

Goalscorer odds

Player Best anytime goalscorer odds Implied chance of scoring

Sergio Aguero

1.75

57%

Lionel Messi

1.76

57%

Gabriel Jesus

1.98

51%

Luis Suarez

2.15

47%

Mohamed Salah

2.25

44%

Robert Lewandowski

2.3

43%

Raheem Sterling

2.3

43%

Leroy Sane

2.5

40%

Daniel Sturridge

2.75

36%

Ousmane Dembele

2.88

35%

Sadio Mane

2.9

34%

Divock Origi

2.95

34%

Cristiano Ronaldo

2.95

34%

Thomas Muller

3.1

32%

Riyad Mahrez

3.1

32%

Roberto Firmino

3.2

31%

Moussa Dembele

3.2

31%

Kevin-Prince Boateng

3.25

31%

Antoine Griezmann

3.25

31%

Coutinho

3.3

30%

Rafael Camacho

3.4

29%

Malcom

3.4

29%

Xherdan Shaqiri

3.6

28%

Memphis Depay

3.6

28%

Bernardo Silva

3.6

28%

Bertrand Traore

3.75

27%

Lenny Pintor

3.75

27%

Kevin De Bruyne

3.75

27%

David Silva

3.75

27%

Arjen Robben

3.8

26%

Juan Cuadrado

3.95

25%

Alvaro Morata

4

25%

Diego Costa

4

25%

Franck Ribery

4.2

24%

Borja Garces

4.2

24%

Nikola Kalinic

4.25

24%

Maxwel Cornet

4.33

23%

James Rodriguez

4.35

23%

Serge Gnabry

4.35

23%

Paulo Dybala

4.35

23%

Kingsley Coman

4.4

23%

Ilkay Gundogan

4.4

23%

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A fearsome Argentine duo headline our attack, as Sergio Aguero just pips Lionel Messi to our captain’s armband. Both are deemed to have a 57% chance of scoring against Schalke and Lyon respectively, with Aguero notching 11 times in his last 10 outings, whilst his fellow countryman is also in good form with 9 in his last 10. Further adding to their potential is the poor defensive form of their opponents: Schalke have kept just 1 clean sheet in their last 9 games, whilst Lyon have only fared marginally better with 2 over the same period.

Speaking of Lyon, Moussa Dembele (31%) completes our strike force for Gameweek 8. Whilst the former Celtic and Fulham man cannot boast the same form as Aguero and Messi, he has still bagged 5 in his last 8, and is available for just £7.0m. With Lyon scoring in 17 of 19 home games in all competitions this term, the 22 year old could prove a shrewd investment come Wednesday.

In midfield, we double up on the Manchester City attacking juggernaut with the selection of Raheem Sterling (43%). The England star has been instrumental in helping City put 9 past Chelsea and Arsenal in the Premier League lately, with 2 goals and 3 assists in those games. Another important game awaits midweek and affords Sterling the opportunity to prove he can deliver consistently on the big stage.

Our other 3 midfielders all line up at Anfield on Tuesday evening; Sadio Mane (34%), Serge Gnabry (23%) and Kingsley Coman (23%). Liverpool’s Senegalese speedster has been back amongst the goals of late, finding the net in each of his last 4. That Bayern are without a clean sheet in their last 6 should give him confidence that he can continue his recent purple patch. Meanwhile, the Bavarian giants’ wingers should provide good value given their respective prices of £5.5m and £7.0m, with both managing 3 goals in their last 3 appearances.

Atletico Madrid’s Thomas Partey takes the first spot on our substitutes’ bench, with the Ghanaian international seemingly the best pick of the £5.0m midfielders. Fantasy managers feeling a little more adventurous could, however, plump for Schalke’s attacking midfielder Weston McKennie.

Dream Team

Good luck with your fantasy teams this weekend!

May the odds be with you

Daniel Victory is a Fantasy football and anytime goalscorer betting enthusiast. Enjoys SSS – statistics, strategizing and spreadsheets. Follow his great tips on Twitter.


Eirik Henriksen

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