Welcome back to another bookies advantage analysis ahead of Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 2. In the opening round of fixtures, we saw 45% of teams keep a clean sheet, with five coming away and four at home.
Below you can see a table of the teams that managed to keep a clean sheet in GW1 and what their respective odds were. As you can see, Brighton made a huge upset with their clean sheet at Watford, after the bookies implied just a 26% chance.
|MCI||WHU (A)||54% (3rd)|
|ARS||NEW (A)||38% (5th)|
|LEI||WOL (H)||37% (7th)|
|MUN||CHE (H)||37% (7th)|
|BUR||SOU (H)||34% (9th)|
|EVE||CRY (A)||34% (9th)|
|CRY||EVE (H)||32% (11th)|
|WOL||LEI (A)||29% (13th)|
|BRI||WAT (A)||26% (15th)|
Clean Sheet & To Score Over 2+ Goals Odds For Gameweek 2
Arsenal Clean Sheet Favourites for Gameweek 2
The Gunners have climbed from fifth to first in the bookies implied chances to keep a clean sheet in Gameweek 2. After recording a shutout against Newcastle in their opening game of the season, they now have the opportunity to make it two on the bounce when they play hosts to Burnley.
Arsenal had the lowest xGA (0.37) of the opening week which bodes well for their somewhat makeshift GW1 defence that saw Calum Chambers (£4.5) get a full 90 minutes.
This week’s opposition is no easy feat, smashing three past Southampton in the opener and no brimming with confidence ahead of their visit to the Emirates. However, this specific fixture has proved difficult for Burnley in the past.
Since Sean Dyche was appointed in October 2012, and after seven attempts and 15 goals conceded, Arsenal are the only club in England’s top-flight he has never picked up a point against.
Key Defensive Injuries For Liverpool & Chelsea
Liverpool (49%) and Chelsea (44%) both feature in the top four despite neither registering a clean sheet in Gameweek 1.
Liverpool will be without goalkeeper Alisson following a calf injury in their opener against Norwich. This means that Adrián (£4.5) now provides an extremely cheap route into one of the best defences in the league, but does also mean one of the best defences in the league now have Adrián in goal. That said, he was excellent in their recent Super Cup triumph.
Chelsea, on the other hand, are bolstered by the return of N’Golo Kante. After being hammered 4-0 by Man United in the GW1, Lampard now has the chance to record his first league clean sheet as Chelsea boss against visiting Leicester.
Anytime Goalscorer Odds By Position For Gameweek 2
Aubameyang Is The Bookies FPL Captain
This week’s most likely anytime goalscorer according to the bookies is Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (57%) who narrowly edges out Sergio Aguero by 1%.
Aubameyang has met Burnley three times in the Premier League, scoring a brace in every meeting. The Arsenal striker and last season’s Golden Boot winner got his season off to a good start with a decisive winner in Gameweek 1, but was unlucky to not pick up any bonus points.
Raheem Sterling & Co.
Surprisingly, Sterling has a higher probability of scoring (54%) in Gameweek 2 than Salah (50%), though he has contributed with four goals in Man City’s first two competitive fixtures.
Arsenal’s new signing Pepe has a 49% implied chance of finding the net. He looked dangerous off the bench in the opening week and will be confident of feeding off Aubameyang and co. for returns against Burnley.
Richarlison was knocking on the door in Gameweek 1 as Everton peppered the Crystal Palace goal with attempts before Schneiderlin was shown a second yellow card. He faces his old employers Watford, after their nightmare start to the season.
Warming Schlupp’s Seat
I’m still getting used to looking at the defender’s table and not seeing Jeffrey Schlupp at the top where he belongs. Following his reclassification to a midfielder, we now have a new set of faces competing for the top spot.
Shane Duffy is always a threat from set-piece situations. With three goals in his last three fixtures for Brighton (pre-season included), a 20% implied chance of scoring and a decent chance of a clean sheet at home to West Ham, he could be worth a slot in your defence.
The other standout candidate to find the net is Lucas Digne. An attacking fullback who shares freekick and corner taking duties is always a solid investment, especially when it coincides with a favourable fixture.
Bookies Dream Team