Welcome back to another instalment of the Bookies Advantage series where we take a look at all the relevant betting odds ahead of Fantasy Premier League Gameweek 4.
The last gameweek we saw three clean sheets, with Aston Villa, Newcastle & Southampton recording their first of the season.
Clean Sheet & To Score Over 2+ Goals Odds For Gameweek 4
We built this City on scoring goals
Life for the bookies is always a little trickier early in the season. Like a post-graduate who’s decided to go interrailing, Premier League teams are still trying to find themselves.
So it’s somewhat comforting to see a familiar face topping both the clean sheet and the goalscoring odds. Yes, the other 19 teams might be experimenting with singular dreadlocks and ill-fitting anklets, but Manchester City have been there, done that, bought the tribal tattoo. It’s business as usual for Pep’s men.
Meanwhile, any excitement over a Brighton rejuvenation has plummeted about as fast as a seagull who’s spotted abandoned chip.
It’s little wonder the Citizens have been given a 91% likelihood to score 2 or more goals against Brighton and a 69% chance of keeping a clean sheet. Aguero (65%) and Raheem Sterling (64%) are unsurprisingly the most likely to score too.
Burnley still getting burned by the bookies
Burnley are a goal scoring team now. I’m sorry, but it’s true. They’ve scored 5 goals so far this season. Last campaign they scored just 2 goals fewer than Wolves.
In fact, since Klopp has been at Liverpool, they’ve never kept Burnley out.
So the fact that the bookies have given a defensively fragile Liverpool a 52% chance of keeping a clean sheet looks a little generous. With the prolific Ashley Barnes and the ever-domineering Chris Wood to contend with, Klopp’s backline might well struggle to contain Burnley’s new-found potency in front of goal.
Liverpool’s 74% to score 2 or more goals might also be a stretch. Last season they scored 21 less goals on the road than at Anfield; the biggest discrepancy of any club.
Anytime Goalscorer Odds By Position for Gameweek 3
Mid-priced forwards worth every penny
Solar eclipses. A good steak. Sergio Aguero completing 90 minutes. All are rare, but none are quite as rare as a week in which 4 mid-priced forwards have been given a likelihood of over 50% to score. And yet, here we are. What a moment.
Pukki, Vardy, Abraham and Haller complete the quadruplet of hopefuls. They’re flanked by Sergio Aguero, who tops the anytime goalscorer odds, and Harry Kane, who has a remarkable knack for scoring against his North London foes.
Notably, Marcus Rashford doesn’t find himself among such esteemed company. His measly 36% is surprising, given United travel to a lack-lustre Southampton who have already conceded 5 goals.
Callum Wilson is another who might’ve hoped to be higher. The much-fancied forward is still yet to score this season; a drought consolidated by a failure to net in Bournemouth’s midweek Carabao Cup clash against League Two’s Forest Green.
Norwich yet to cut the mustard
Penetrating the City of Norwich during Monday morning rush hour might be impossibly difficult, but getting through their backline has proven remarkably easy so far.
The Canaries have impressed FPL managers with their free-flowing, attacking football spearheaded by Teemu Pukki, but valid questions remain over their defensive capabilities. The fact that West Ham have been given the 4th highest probability (64%) of scoring 2 or more goals speaks volumes.
That the bookies have given the Hammers just a 30% chance of a clean sheet hints at a goal-filled Saturday afternoon at the London stadium. Indeed, both Pukki and West Ham’s record signing Sebastien Haller have been given a more than 50% chance of scoring.