Aguero vs Salah: The big-hitting Gameweek 30 FPL Debate

Another weekend of exciting Fantasy Premier League action awaits, and here at FantasyBet we have all your Gameweek 30 needs covered! First, we review the clean sheet odds to help you out with your defensive selections, before analysing the anytime goalscorer and 2+ goals markets to assist with decisions in attack.

Clean Sheet Odds Gameweek 30

Klopp and Pep look to keep it clean

Favourable home games for the two title contenders – Liverpool host Burnley whilst City entertain Watford – see the pair installed as the likeliest sides to keep clean sheets this weekend, with 60% and 58% chances respectively. The Reds and the Citizens have both recorded successive home shutouts lately, whilst their opponents have both blanked in 2 of their last 4 on the road. Strong xGA stats (Liverpool: 2.60, City: 2.00) over the last 4 home matches also bode well, so premium defenders should certainly be on the menu in Gameweek 30. Virgil van Dijk, who scored twice against Watford at Anfield recently, also ranks second in the bookies’ anytime goalscorer rankings for defenders (17% chance of scoring) and merits serious consideration.

Eagles defence set to take flight

A home derby against rivals Brighton sees Crystal Palace rank third with a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet on Saturday lunchtime. The Seagulls have averaged less than a goal per game (13 in 14) on their travels this season, and with neither side yet clear of the relegation scrap, a tight, cagey game could materialise. There are cheap options aplenty in Roy Hodgson’s defence, with bonus point magnet Aaron Wan-Bissaka and the OOP Jeffrey Schlupp, who has 3 assists in his last 3 outings, particularly noteworthy.

Bournemouth’s budget back line

If you really want to save money at the back, however, look no further than Bournemouth for Gameweek 30. The Cherries travel to rock-bottom Huddersfield, who have blanked in 6 of their last 8 games. Although Eddie Howe’s side have little defensive form to speak of, it should be noted that they have had a difficult fixture run of late; Manchester City, Arsenal, Wolves and Liverpool have been their last 4 opponents. With a 38% chance of a clean sheet this weekend, according to the bookmakers, Artur Boruc and Jack Simpson, both priced at £4.0m, could prove shrewd acquisitions.

premier league betting odds

Aguero and Salah set to battle it out for captaincy

The aforementioned favourable home fixtures for City and Liverpool mean that their talisman, Sergio Aguero and Mohamed Salah, sit top of the bookies’ attacking estimations for Gameweek 30. The two big hitters are, however, in starkly contrasting form. The Argentine has struck 8 times in his last 6 in the top flight, whilst last season’s Golden Boot winner has found the net just once over the same period. That recent form would seem to swing the captaincy debate in Aguero’s favour, but with Liverpool having an extra day’s rest prior to their Champions League commitments on Wednesday (City play on Tuesday), it isn’t unreasonable to suggest that Salah may see more game time this weekend. Sometimes, you just need two armbands…

Can Kane be a late-season premium differential?

Since making an early return from injury in Gameweek 28, Harry Kane has scored 3 goals in 4 games in all competitions. This weekend he travels to Southampton, one of his favourite opponents – the England hitman has struck 6 times in his last 4 matches against the Saints. With a 55% chance of continuing that run at St Mary’s on Saturday, and Mauricio Pochettino’s men afforded a 58% of netting twice or more against his old club, could Harry be the premium differential your side needs?

A boost of character for the Foxes

Brendan Rodgers first home match in charge of Leicester City comes against relegation strugglers Fulham, who currently have new caretaker boss Scott Parker at the helm. The bookies have given Jamie Vardy (60%) the third highest implied probability to score, behind only Aguero & Salah. We recently published a tactical analysis of Brendan Rodgers which highlighted Demarai Gray, James Maddison & Ricardo Pereira as existing players that suit Rodgers system. Along with Harry Maguire, the aforementioned trio also have the bookies’ backing for goals ahead of Gameweek 30.

Bookies Gameweek 30 Dream Team:


Jamie Reeves

BEST FPL FINISH: 8,872 (17/18)

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