Another FPL season has reached its climax. But the right moves in Gameweek 38 can boost your rank, help you overcome your rival, or secure that mini-league title. So, for one last time, check out our analysis of the clean sheet and anytime goalscorer odds to help you with those all-important transfer, squad selection and captaincy decisions…
Clean sheets likely in title race
The battle for the Premier League crown has gone right to the wire. Manchester City go into Gameweek 38 knowing that a win at Brighton will see them retain the title, whilst Liverpool must beat Wolves at Anfield and hope the Citizens drop points if they are to triumph.
Shutting out their opponents will be the starting point for both sides, with the bookies giving City a 57% chance of keeping a clean sheet and Liverpool a 55% chance of doing so. At home, the Seagulls have failed to score in 3 of their last 4, whilst Wolves have blanked in 2 of their last 5 on the road.
Meanwhile, it’s 5 shutouts in 6 for City away from home, whilst Liverpool have 4 from their last 6 in front of their own fans. Virgil van Dijk has a 15% chance of scoring according to the bookies, whilst bonus point magnet Aymeric Laporte (12%) looks the best choice from Pep’s charges.
Saints to answer your defensive prayers
A home game against Huddersfield, who have scored in just one of their last 9 away games, brings Southampton defenders onto fantasy radars.
With a 50% chance of securing defensive returns, the likes of Jan Bednarek, Yan Valery and Ryan Bertrand all offer solid potential, with the former two very kindly priced. Ralph Hassenhuttl’s team only have 3 clean sheets at home this season, but couldn’t have asked for a kinder final day opponent in an attempt to make that 4.
Valery, who has displayed attacking prowess with 2 goals and an assist in his last 7 starts, is given a 13% chance of finding the net again this Sunday.
Holebas a cheeky differential
Known for his propensity for bookings and set-piece threat in equal measure, Jose Holebas is given a 17% chance of scoring this weekend against West Ham.
With the Hammers blanking in 6 of their last 9 on the road, there could be defensive returns for the Greek left-back, whilst he will certainly fancy his chances of adding to his 3 goals and 7 assists this term given Mauricio Pellegrini’s side have been breached in 14 of their 17 away games.
Aguero and Sterling to fire Sky Blues to the title?
With just a win required to retain their Premier League crown, Manchester City will be going all-out-attack to put Brighton to the sword on Sunday, at least that’s what the bookmakers think, with Pep Guardiola’s side given a 90% chance of scoring 2+ goals, whilst Sergio Aguero (65%) and Raheem Sterling (59%) top the anytime goalscorer rankings for forwards and midfielders respectively.
Both men performed well in the reverse fixture back in September, with the England star bagging a 14 point haul after scoring the first and setting up the second for his Argentine teammate, who netted 8 points, in a 2-0 win. The Seagulls, meanwhile, have conceded 8 in their last 3 at The Amex and, with Cardiff relegated last weekend, have nothing left to play for.
United assets fancied despite horrendous form
With just 2 goals in their last 4 outings, no chance of qualifying for the Champions League, and the team looking extremely disjointed, Manchester United’s players have provided extremely poor fantasy returns for their owners of late.
Can they rally against a downed Cardiff for one last hurrah this season? The bookies certainly seem to think so, giving them an 83% chance of scoring 2+ goals this gameweek, second only to cross-town rivals City, whilst Marcus Rashford (56%) and Paul Pogba (54%) sit second in the forward and midfielder anytime goalscorer rankings.
With the Bluebirds losing 12 of their 17 away games this season, including all 5 against the rest of the big 6, there may just be some value yet in Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men.
Budget options aplenty on the South Coast
FPL managers have generally done well by opposing rock bottom Huddersfield this term, and we see no reason to buck that trend in Gameweek 38.
Southampton host the Terriers, who have conceded an average of 2.44 goals per game on their travels, making them the worst away defence in the top flight.
The Saints, meanwhile, have averaged 2 goals per game at home lately (12 in the last 6), with Shane Long (50%) and James Ward-Prowse (38%) both netting 3 during that time. With Danny Ings (51%) also prominent in the bookies’ thinking, investment in a Southampton attacker, or two, could certainly pay off.
Bookies Gameweek 38 Dream Team
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