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Euro 2020 Fantasy Football Tips: Qualifying Round 7 & 8

It’s that time again. Park up your FPL squad in the pit stop and dust off your Euro fantasy team. Euro 2020 qualifying commences on Thursday afternoon and closes on Tuesday evening as Round 7 and 8 are played out.

We have a number of Euro Fantasy competitions for you to get involved in here at FantasyBet. Our comprehensive analysis of the next two fixtures should help you to gain a valuable advantage over your rivals.

Best Implied Win Percentages For Euro Fantasy Round 7 & 8

Country Round 7 (Implied Win %) Round 8 (Implied Win %) Average (Win %)
BELGIUM San Marino (H) 99% Kazakhstan (a) 87% 93%
ITALY Greece (H) 85% Leichtenstein (a) 99% 92%
NETHERLANDS Northern Ireland (H) 87% Belarus (a) 88% 87.5%
POLAND Latvia (a) 91% Macedonia (H) 78% 84.5%
ENGLAND Czech Republic (a) 71% Bulgaria (a) 83% 77%
FRANCE Iceland (a) 74% Turkey (H) 78% 76%
SPAIN Norway (a) 69% Sweden (a) 64% 66.5%
RUSSIA Scotland (H) 67% Cyprus (a) 65% 66%

The countries highlighted above are those you can confidently back in both of the fixtures in this International break. I have converted the bookies odds ‘to win’ into percentages for both fixtures and then ranked the top eight from best to worst.

Belgium on top

Belgium came out on top with two extremely favourable fixtures. They host a San Marino side who are planted at the bottom of Group I with no goals or wins, as well as 28 goals conceded in their six matches so far.

San Marino have conceded 18 goals in their three away fixtures in qualifying. Eight of these were shipped after the 60th minute, which is specifically suited to Romelu Lukaku. Almost 60% of his International goals have come in the second half of games and he’ll surely be one of the most popular choices for captaincy in any FantasyBet contest if he starts.

However, Michy Batshuayi is likely to feature heavily in both fixtures. Roberto Martinez decided to start the Chelsea man in their last meeting with San Marino and, to be completely honest, they would probably still hammer San Marino and Kazakhstan with ‘insert any name’ leading the line.

Even Benteke would have a chance of bagging a goal or two.

Italian job done?

Italy also hit the 90’s in terms of the bookies implied win percentage across their two fixtures. They sit comfortably at the top of their group with six wins from six and a +15 goal difference.

They have shared the goals amongst themselves with six players scoring twice thus far, including Moise Kean and Fabio Quagliarella. Those two have a 17-year age gap between them, though unfortunately both have been excluded from the squad for the upcoming fixtures.

Andrea Belotti is perhaps their first choice striker and has been in fantastic form, with five goals in six Serie A fixtures as well as a brace in his last start for his country. Also don’t forget their defenders.

Leonardo Bonucci is always a reliable fantasy pick, while Giovanni De Lorenzo has impressed for Napoli recently, and will fight for the RB spot. Keep an eye on the starting line-ups when building your squad.

Dutch dominance

The Netherlands rank third according to the bookies. Despite trailing Northern Ireland in Group C, they have played a game less. They’ll be confident of winning that crunch match to claw back second spot.

Memphis Depay has been a standout performer in qualifying so far with four goals in his nation’s four qualifiers. Liverpool’s Georginio Wijnaldum has also benefited from a more attacking role with two goals and an assist in his last two qualifiers.

Best of the rest

Poland, England and France all benefit from good fixtures in both rounds. Their players most likely to score big in fantasy are fairly obvious and include the likes of Robert Lewandowski, Raheem Sterling and Antoine Griezmann.

In defence I would suggest Jan Bednarek, who has established himself in the heart of Poland’s defence, Trent Alexander Arnold who takes the majority of set-pieces for England and Alphonse Areola, who will step in between the sticks for the injured Lloris for France.

Other Favourable Fixtures For Euro Fantasy Round 7 & 8

Country Round 7 (Implied Win %) Round 8 (Implied Win %)
PORTUGAL Luxemburg (a) 95% Ukraine (a) 47%
GERMANY Friendly (n/a) Estonia (a) 95%
SCOTLAND Russia (a) 13% San Marino (H) 99%
ICELAND France (H) 10% Andorra (H) 99%
GEORGIA Ireland (H) 27% Gibraltar (a) 96%
UKRAINE Lithuania (H) 93% Portugal (H) 29%
SWEDEN Malta (a) 93% Spain (H) 18%
ROMANIA Faroe Islands (a) 80% Norway (H) 42%
AUSTRIA Israel (H) 71% Slovenia (a) 37%
CROATIA Hungary (H) 75% Wales (a) 42%

Looking to target a single fixture to hit those differentials in your fantasy football tournaments? Well this table above is your perfect companion to locate those free-scoring attackers or else the easiest route towards a clean sheet.

From Portugal, obviously Cristiano Ronaldo is the cream of the crop. He scored four of his side’s five goals as they defeated Lithuania in Round 6. Wonderkid Joao Felix and the much talked about Bernardo Silva are cheaper alternatives for that Luxemburg fixture.

Germany will play a friendly match rather than a Round 7 qualifier, but their Round 8 fixture is very attractive. Estonia are rock bottom of the group, conceding 3.6 goals on average per game.

Serge Gnabry is in the form of his life, and is worthy of a spot in your midfield. Meanwhile, the RB Leipzig fullback duo of Marcel Halstenberg and Lukas Klostermann are exciting prospects in their new-look defence.

Being Scottish, I rarely feature their national team in my articles. This isn’t an honest attempt at being impartial or anything, it’s just they’re pretty bad at football. Although they do have some decent individual talent and it would be silly to ignore a home fixture versus San Marino. Ryan Christie and Andrew Robertson are my picks of the bunch from Scotland.

Affordable alternatives

Iceland and Georgia also have their go-to players in these sorts of matches. Things aren’t going to plan for Gylfi Sigurdsson in the Premier League, but he is always heavily involved in everything his country do well.

Valeri (Vako) Qazaishvili is also worth a mention for Georgia’s away trip to Gibraltar. Having followed the MLS for three seasons now, he is a solid fantasy option who has an extremely direct approach and has the potential to do damage from the left wing in easier fixtures.

Elsewhere, Andriy Yarmolenko will look to carry his club form onto the International stage against Lithuania and Oleksandr Zinchenko will also have his eyes on goal, having scored from left back in Ukraine’s last qualifier.

Robin Quaison is doing a good job of chipping in with the goals for Sweden since Zlatan’s retirement. The Mainz striker has four goals in his last six for his country and also a goal every other game in the Bundesliga. They will also fancy themselves for a clean sheet vs. Malta, and centre-back Andreas Granqvist is also the designated penalty taker.


Clarke Hutchison

A player analyst who contributed to the foundations upon which daily fantasy content in the UK now sits. Clarke loves stats and spreadsheets and once sat at 34th overall in FPL but bottled it.

BEST FPL FINISH: 385 (17/18)

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