In this series, I will highlight specific players and teams from the gameweek just gone who either posted extremely promising or poor statistics. A lot of the focus will be directed towards players and teams who under/over performed on a weekly basis when comparing output against stats.
The xG Delta stat is the difference between actual goals and expected goals (xG). A high minus figure indicates underachievement and a high plus figure indicates overachievement.
Gameweek 5 Overachievers and Underachievers
Tammy Abraham (+2.04)
Fikayo Tomori (+0.98)
Jeff Hendrick (+0.98)
Ryan Fraser (+0.96)
Jetro Willems (+0.96)
Son, Aubameyang, Wilson and Mane all scored a brace in gameweek 5 and were all considered to have overachieved by the xG data. However, with player and game-specific context applied, it is fair to say that the chances they all had were ones which they particularly thrive on and therefore it would be unfair to say they had massively overachieved. Instead, I will focus on players who scored a single goal who overachieved based on their xG data.
Michy Batshuayi (-1.28)
David McGoldrick (-1.20)
Trent Alexander-Arnold (-0.77)
Sheffield United, Watford and Aston Villa will all be frustrated walking away from gameweek 5 having not earned 3 points. Sheffield United lost 0-1 to Southampton but trumped their xG 1.88 to 1.58 having taken 17 shots, 13 of which were from inside the box.
Watford drew 2-2 at home to Arsenal after 31 shots and an xG scoreline reading 2.83-1.01, suggesting the Gunners were very fortunate to add a point to their tally. Finally, Aston Villa registered an xG of 1.41 compared to West Ham’s 0.54, yet they were forced to settle for a 0-0 draw.
By some margin, Spurs were the biggest xG overachievers of the weekend. A first-half onslaught saw them secure a 4-0 victory over fellow Londoners Crystal Palace. However, their xG of 1.05 suggests that this scoreline was flattering based on the quality of chances they had.
Gameweek 5 Key Stats and Positions
Total Goal Attempts
Defenders – Van Dijk, Otamendi (3)
Midfielders – Cleverley (7), Sterling (6), Son, Doucoure, Fleck (5)
Forwards – Deulofeu (7), Aguero, McGoldrick (6)
Defenders – Alexander-Arnold (7), Digne, Femenia (3)
Midfielders – Gross (6), Sterling, Moutinho, Pogba, Norwood (4)
Forwards – Deulofeu (8), Firmino, King (8)
Other Standout Stats
Top of the Stats – Last 4 Gameweeks
Defenders – Digne (7)
Midfielders – Sterling, Salah, Mount (14)
Forwards – Aguero (18)
Shots Inside the box
Defenders – Otamendi (6)
Midfielders – Sterling (12)
Forwards – Aguero (15)
Defenders – Alexander-Arnold (18)
Midfielders – De Bruyne (16)
Forwards – Deulofeu (12)